Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000123 0.000131 0.000140 0.000149 0.000160 0.000172 0.000185
2024-12-15 0.000110 0.000121 0.000133 0.000148 0.000166 0.000187 0.000213
2024-12-22 0.000102 0.000115 0.000130 0.000149 0.000173 0.000202 0.000243
2024-12-29 0.000098 0.000112 0.000129 0.000152 0.000182 0.000221 0.000279
2025-01-05 0.000091 0.000106 0.000124 0.000148 0.000182 0.000227 0.000299
2025-01-12 0.000084 0.000099 0.000117 0.000142 0.000177 0.000227 0.000309
2025-01-19 0.000079 0.000094 0.000112 0.000138 0.000175 0.000229 0.000321
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000088 0.000106 0.000131 0.000168 0.000223 0.000320
2025-02-02 0.000072 0.000086 0.000105 0.000132 0.000172 0.000235 0.000351
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000086 0.000105 0.000135 0.000180 0.000252 0.000395
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000085 0.000106 0.000137 0.000186 0.000269 0.000443
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000087 0.000109 0.000144 0.000201 0.000302 0.000537
2025-03-02 0.000068 0.000084 0.000107 0.000143 0.000203 0.000314 0.000588
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000081 0.000104 0.000141 0.000203 0.000323 0.000638
2025-03-16 0.000063 0.000080 0.000103 0.000141 0.000208 0.000341 0.000724
2025-03-23 0.000062 0.000079 0.000103 0.000144 0.000217 0.000371 0.000867
2025-03-30 0.000060 0.000076 0.000100 0.000140 0.000214 0.000374 0.000918
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000073 0.000096 0.000135 0.000207 0.000365 0.000921
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000070 0.000093 0.000131 0.000203 0.000361 0.000945
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000067 0.000088 0.000124 0.000193 0.000344 0.000903
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000066 0.000088 0.000125 0.000198 0.000364 0.001044
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000066 0.000088 0.000128 0.000206 0.000395 0.001284
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000130 0.000214 0.000427 0.001595